It's unrealistic for any nation to do everything themselves, but they can make some changes in response to the US starting trade wars, ditching foreign policy/climate objectives, etc...

Linux/windows might have better options, but I haven't checked.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47693759

Points: 1

# Comments: 4

The US has decided to step into Russia's shoes in Iran for reasons and I would be shocked if Russia/China aren't also providing similar aid for Iran.

Overall system performance is better at about 2x improvement thanks to extra cores/other improvements/changes. I could see other more specialized benchmarks improving more thanks to different improvements/core/power/size improvements in other components (GPU/NPU/etc...).

We can afford to do it right. It will cost more and we'll have to make more prudent, effective, efficient, etc... decisions about producing and allocating goods and services and would need to give up many of the net negative/zero economic activities we like.

We've also likely enriched ourselves by externalizing the negative externalities of some of our goods and services to other countries. That's our choice, and I don't think it's a great one.

He might have been able to push prices up to +/-10+% when Tesla was smaller, but I doubt he could even move it 5% these days.

Have they faked their current sales? How are they going to fake future sales?

It's clear you're not a fan of Elon or Tesla, but they'll have plenty of opportunities to mess things up themselves like any other company. There's no need to speculate about trillions in fraud and millions of fake sales.

If they hit the targets, he gets equity, if they don't, he doesn't.

And Tesla has to hit market cap and operation goals before any stock is awarded to Elon.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-what-elon-musk-needs-to...

If the Market cap isn't there, no stock. If the operational goal isn't there, no stock. They both have to be satisfied for the award.

I think his decisions have been helpful in the past, especially compared to half-hearted attempts at EVs by most of most other large manufacturers, but only time will tell if his current positions will pay off. At least the new compensation is performance based. If he can't deliver, he doesn't get paid.

V3/V4 have significantly improved in the past few months. I use one, the other, or both, daily, more V3 than V4. They are well ahead of where they were in 2023.

I'm sure Nvidia and others will eventually catch up, but they have to catch up in terms of auto manufacturing/use, inference/training/sensor hardware manufacturing/use, fleet training data, etc... simulataneously.

Xpeng driving autonomously is great, and shows they are catching up at least in a specific situation. They may be catching up in the aggregate, they may not be. I agree that a Chinese manufacturer has the best chance to catch up overall.

In general, I think it's about whether a distributed, lower-compute/sensor with higher-data/training approach like Tesla/etc have will beat a more singular, higher-compute/sensor with lower-data/training like Waymo/etc have.

Distributed has been able to offer better ADAS at a lower cost, but singular is winning at fully autonomous driving. If distributed can catch up in terms of autonomous diving while continuing to improve ADAS, distributed is done. I have a hunch that's a part of why there's so much demand for DRAM/etc...

https://nypost.com/2025/12/31/tech/tesla-owner-completes-fir...

https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1pmnilm/se...

It's partially about fully automated cars, but that's barely started. IMO, it's more about them as ADAS now.

And it's not just about whether anyone else will catch up in terms of automation/ADAS, it's about whether anyone else will catch up in terms of manufacturing+automation/ADAS.

Edit- And yes, Elon acting like that doesn't help, but Tesla isn't Elon.

Building a PC in a cost efficient manner generally requires someone to track parts prices over years, buy parts at different times, and buy at least a generation behind.

The same applies to many other markets/commodities/etc...

FSD, what most people use, is ADAS, even if it performs a lot of the driving tasks in many situations, and the driver needs to always be monitoring it, no exceptions.

The same applies to any ADAS. If it doesn't work for in a situation, the driver has to take over.

On my 8gb M1 Mac, I can have a ton of tabs open and it'll swap with minimal slowdown. On the other hand, running a 4k external display and a small (4gb) llm is at best horrible and will sometimes require a hard reset.

I've seen similar with different combinations of software/hardware.