Hacker News: paulmist

New comment by paulmist in "GPT-6 Sol and Luna"

paulmist — Tue, 22 Sep 2026 18:44:04 +0000

> Winner right now is Codex by a mile

Opposite in my experience. I need to limit codex to 500k on medium/low, still run out in 2-3 days with 1 CLI window. CC gives me 4-5 medium/high days with 2-3 CLI windows, and Opus is still great for other regular dumb engineering/refactoring.

On the other hand my head starts to hurt if I read Opus for too long, hopefully they fixed it with 5.5.

New comment by paulmist in "Patterns and problems in emerging multi-agent systems"

paulmist — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 13:47:30 +0000

I think that such fine-tuning hinges on what do you consider to be a mistake, which is context dependent. Having task-specific finetuned models goes against the status quo of generalization/centralization where few large companies serve a limited amount of models efficiently - both due to inference efficiency and the need/want to control the model.

Having a human-like LLM ecosystem with deep specialization requires a paradigm change in how LLMs are trained - and held accountable. How do we put trust in a specific finetuned LLM rather than the institution behind it? Is there any better approach than the very inefficient evolutionary?

New comment by paulmist in "England set to be one of the first countries to eliminate hepatitis C"

paulmist — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 16:10:20 +0000

In Europe I don't think it's commonly done. For example, the standard Dutch MSM STI test [1] covers HIV, Syphilis, Chlamydia, and Gonorrhoea only while Trichomoniasis, HPV 2 and Herpes are rather common. That being said, it's freely available at most hospitals.

[1] https://www.mantotman.nl/

New comment by paulmist in "US Military's cyber command unit grapples with cluster of deaths by suicide"

paulmist — Sat, 08 Aug 2026 14:01:18 +0000

Definitely a rough estimate! I recon base rate is also higher amongst military personnel & it’s not uniformly distributed there either.

New comment by paulmist in "US Military's cyber command unit grapples with cluster of deaths by suicide"

paulmist — Sat, 08 Aug 2026 11:08:54 +0000

Assuming a predominantly male population, the suicide rate should be around 20 per 100000 per year. 5 people in a month gives 18x higher rate. Too short period to draw any statistical conclusions but it’s a large blip.

New comment by paulmist in "Ten advances in mathematics and theoretical computer science"

paulmist — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 19:35:14 +0000

Correct me if I'm wrong, but all of the aforementioned advances were made in the last year? Until very recently few people had access to these tools. Most people still don't know how to use ChatGPT, and very few use tools like CC regularily. If in a few years these frontier tools become commonplace and people upskill we would should see a network effect?

New comment by paulmist in "MAI-Cyber-1-Flash inside MDASH"

paulmist — Mon, 27 Jul 2026 19:04:28 +0000

I love this video on Tay

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HsLup7yy-6I

New comment by paulmist in "South Korea to spend $1T on more memory chip production and humanoid robots"

paulmist — Mon, 29 Jun 2026 23:51:20 +0000

Even better, Qimonda was ultimately bought (alongside all their patents) by SMIC [1] who is now the Chinese memory player. For 30 million.

[1] https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/chinas-cxmt-is-set-to-...

New comment by paulmist in "South Korea to spend $1T on more memory chip production and humanoid robots"

paulmist — Mon, 29 Jun 2026 23:49:53 +0000

IIRC Taiwan took a page out of Singapore's playbook and went all in on electrical engineering and adjecent fields. It was very much a long-term strategy. Germany probably didn't feel nearly as much pressure, and was already very strong in all industry.

New comment by paulmist in "South Korea to spend $1T on more memory chip production and humanoid robots"

paulmist — Mon, 29 Jun 2026 23:23:39 +0000

> “Semiconductors, physical AI, and AI data centers are the triple axis for a great leap forward.”

Not the best wording... I wonder how serious this announcement is.

New comment by paulmist in "Apple raises prices of MacBooks, iPads"

paulmist — Thu, 25 Jun 2026 14:24:51 +0000

Personal anecdote on ROI - I was at an early stage startup earlier this year where we had some burstable long-running GPU tasks (<100 VMs). Accross GCP and OCI we couldn't get our hands on L40S on-demand, and had to resort to T4s (released 2018). Sometimes even these were unavailable, and we would have a P4 (2016!) fallback. AWS sells A100s (2020) at $4/hr except they don't even have capacity for x1 versions, you have to rent x8.

New comment by paulmist in "Beyond All Reason (Free Total Annihilation Inspired RTS)"

paulmist — Sun, 21 Jun 2026 22:58:45 +0000

I think you're confounding streaming with the rise of solo-queue but cooperative (CS:GO, LoL...) games around 2010. Both were enabled by cheaper computing and alllowed competitive ladders to scale to millions of players. Games where you have to queue with a pre-made team (or pro teams for that matter) are considerably less toxic. Toxic streamers are more of a consequence of an already toxic community.

New comment by paulmist in "Beyond All Reason (Free Total Annihilation Inspired RTS)"

paulmist — Sun, 21 Jun 2026 15:52:13 +0000

I think that's a normal evolution of these games? In the end they are cooperative so your teammates depend on you. Although you'll find plenty of people at the top of the ladder spamming werid strategies and being successful.

New comment by paulmist in "Google Is Using Nvidia's Playbook to Build a Rival AI Chip Business"

paulmist — Fri, 19 Jun 2026 21:41:05 +0000

I wonder if we'll start seeing Amazon/Google/Apple completely verticalize their chip production (TPU/Tranium/M series/Graviton...) and buy (parts of) Intel. Their capex is already a trillion a year, surely it'd make sense to compete with TSMC/Samsung/SK Hynix?

New comment by paulmist in "Hyundai buys Boston Dynamics"

paulmist — Fri, 19 Jun 2026 21:34:05 +0000

Can anyone suggest some ways to understand automation trends in manufacturing? Watching factory tours on youtube has been super interesting.

New comment by paulmist in "Hyundai buys Boston Dynamics"

paulmist — Fri, 19 Jun 2026 21:31:57 +0000

Do you think humanoids would be a fit on assemblying the assembly line itself? To my limited knowledge a lot of setting up the factory is making sure your line works as expected with X 9s reliability. Here dexterous humanoids are this _universal_ virtual-to-physical interface and, akin to Auto Research, could run assembly line experiments autonomosuly?

New comment by paulmist in "Noam Shazeer Joins OpenAI"

paulmist — Thu, 18 Jun 2026 21:23:05 +0000

I first saw Noam on Dwarkesh’s podcast together with Jeff Dean. Recommend if you want a taste of what’s Google’s folks take on things.

https://youtu.be/v0gjI__RyCY?is=nz77XP4KiJy7L1AX

New comment by paulmist in "US battery manufacturing output continues to break records"

paulmist — Mon, 15 Jun 2026 21:20:55 +0000

According to IEA[1] most capacity in Europe is from South Korean companies.

[1] https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/share-of-manu...

New comment by paulmist in "Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5"

paulmist — Sat, 13 Jun 2026 01:36:14 +0000

Aren't biggest Qwen 3.7 closed? I don't suspect China's policy here would be anything but ruthless.

New comment by paulmist in "US Government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5"

paulmist — Sat, 13 Jun 2026 01:32:48 +0000

It shows the same for this thread.

https://imgur.com/a/EOWWUbD