Hacker News: peder

New comment by peder in "I think Anthropic and OpenAI have found product-market fit"

peder — Wed, 27 May 2026 18:15:07 +0000

> I don't see the business model working.

Same. It's a nightmare from a Porter's Five Forces perspective.

There will be a ton of businesses competing in this space, and there will be something of a moat due to how capital intensive the business can be, but there will still basically be infinite competitors.

Great for consumers.

New comment by peder in "The just-say-no engineer was a ZIRP phenomenon"

peder — Wed, 27 May 2026 15:06:31 +0000

Right, and it’s just the wrong, maybe weirdest correlation to suggest, and I’m someone that loves to find unexpected connections between things. ZIRP had nothing to do with this “no-man” phenomenon, it predated ZIRP.

New comment by peder in "The just-say-no engineer was a ZIRP phenomenon"

peder — Wed, 27 May 2026 15:05:04 +0000

And in the agentic world, that liability is both minimized and amplified. Teams that successfully mitigate AI risks will be able to churn out massive amounts of sustainable code.

New comment by peder in "SpaceX S-1"

peder — Thu, 21 May 2026 01:29:03 +0000

Bruh. This is unhinged.

SpaceX is a good company with a ton of potential future revenue on their data center and Starlink businesses. Nothing about this company is fugazzi.

New comment by peder in "Claude for Small Business"

peder — Thu, 14 May 2026 14:07:20 +0000

> a UI that makes claude code or codex accessible to the average user.

It'll just be power users. We're moving toward a world of significantly fewer analysts and more into "Super SMEs" that can actually learn tools like Claude and manage enormous complexity with them.

Just giving average users these tools will produce garbage. This example from Claude is so contrived and any business analyst can see how a process that requires uploading additional data will fail. You can't expect users that don't even know their own data to be able to make this thing work.

There will be no "average" user in the future. It'll be multi-disciplinary SMEs that are extremely creative and knowledgeable about their businesses.

New comment by peder in "Higher usage limits for Claude and a compute deal with SpaceX"

peder — Wed, 06 May 2026 17:06:46 +0000

> Looks like Elon's finally giving up on XAI and just selling the compute

I don't think that's certain yet, but I do think that the open-source models like Gemma and Qwen are getting so good so fast that even Anthropic has real risk around the long-term value of their models and tooling.

Basically, if I'm Anthropic or xAI, I try to get revenue whenever and wherever possible and see what sticks. There's no value in playing for monopolistic control when everything is so volatile.

New comment by peder in "Google Chrome silently installs a 4 GB AI model on your device without consent"

peder — Tue, 05 May 2026 15:14:16 +0000

And adding climate hysteria here diminishes the climate change argument generally. It's like "the boy who cried wolf".

New comment by peder in "GPT-5.5"

peder — Thu, 23 Apr 2026 23:50:24 +0000

> It really seems like we could be at the dawn of a new era similiar to flash

We've been there for a while.... creativity has been the primary bottleneck

New comment by peder in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

peder — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 12:32:52 +0000

Irrelevant if you can keep doing decapitation strikes on leadership.

New comment by peder in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

peder — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 12:32:24 +0000

lol no, they both have lost substantial influence in Iran... the US has been chipping away at the spheres of influence for both China and Russia in recent months, first with Venezuela and now Iran. Hopefully Cuba is next.

And the US surveillance capabilities are substantially greater than they were during the Iraq and Vietnam wars. Smuggling in drones or missiles isn't some trivial affair.

And again, if they do that, we just decapitate their leadership again. And again. Until they stop.

New comment by peder in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

peder — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 04:07:04 +0000

You arguably can't run gorilla large-scale manufacturing. There are obvious limits to what you can achieve when the opposition can run decapitation strikes every few months.

New comment by peder in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

peder — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 02:35:37 +0000

Exactly, but Hacker News is upvoting this because it wants the US to be seen as the loser of this conflict.

Both sides in a conflict (or any negotiation) make demands that they know the other will not accept. You can't just take someone's list like that and assume that'll be the exact outcome.

New comment by peder in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

peder — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 02:22:18 +0000

But we can eliminate 90% of senior leadership at any time. How do they measure that cost?

New comment by peder in "US and Iran agree to provisional ceasefire"

peder — Wed, 08 Apr 2026 02:09:47 +0000

This is not the deal. Iran had published this earlier as their list of demands, just like the US did. The reality is something in the middle of that.

New comment by peder in "The cult of vibe coding is dogfooding run amok"

peder — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 21:05:50 +0000

But tech debt with vibe coding is fixed by just throwing more magic at it. The cost of tech debt has never been lower.

New comment by peder in "Running Gemma 4 locally with LM Studio's new headless CLI and Claude Code"

peder — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 21:00:29 +0000

Have you been using `omlx serve`? If so, how are you bumping up the max context size? I'm not seeing a param to go above 32k?

New comment by peder in "Running Gemma 4 locally with LM Studio's new headless CLI and Claude Code"

peder — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 13:22:36 +0000

Did you have any Anthropic vs OpenAI specification issues with Claude Code? I have been using mlx_vlm and vMLX and I get 400 Bad Request errors from Claude Code. Presumably you're not seeing those issues with llama-server ?

New comment by peder in "Cursor 3"

peder — Thu, 02 Apr 2026 20:57:27 +0000

> I feel like this design direction is leaning more towards a chat interface as a first class citizen and the code itself as a secondary concern.

That's because that's exactly where we're headed, and it's fine.

New comment by peder in "How Reverse Game Theory Could Solve the Housing Shortage"

peder — Tue, 31 Mar 2026 01:52:31 +0000

And despite saying that they're the party of YIMBY, in practice we can clearly see that Democrats simply aren't. They'll say that they allowed ADUs, but then Dallas will come along and build 10,000 homes in the time it took Seattle to simply debate ADUs.

At some point you have to look at the actual results of policy.

New comment by peder in "How Reverse Game Theory Could Solve the Housing Shortage"

peder — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 16:29:53 +0000

Right, it's not an inherently left vs right thing. Today NIMBYism has been largely a left-wing phenomenon, with really high end housing developments that are politically untouchable by housing projects.

The answer is always the same tho: make it easy to build housing, and build more housing. Keep building housing until there's a glut of supply.