<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: probablypower</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=probablypower</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Sat, 02 May 2026 10:24:15 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=probablypower" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "72% of the dollar's purchasing power was destroyed in just four episodes"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This study doesn't correct for baseline exponential decay due to inflation, to better highlight the meaningful variations. By comparing based on 1914 dollars it also causes old variations to be relatively more extreme and newer inflationary events to look less extreme. You must compare apples to apples.<p>Finally the events are quite cherry-picked. It is a conclusion looking for a result, when the statistical reason for choosing those 4 events simply isn't evident when you look at the data itself. There is no mathematical rule you could apply to your dataset that would distinctly highlight those 4 periods.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 16:01:57 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47575998</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47575998</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47575998</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "A train-sized tunnel is now carrying electricity under South London"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>First guess (may be wrong) is  to manage thermal expansion/contraction constantly on a micro-scale.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 20 Dec 2025 09:08:40 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46334669</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46334669</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46334669</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "CATL expects oceanic electric ships in three years"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>60 MWh continuously means inf MW.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 06 Dec 2025 22:24:26 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46177115</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46177115</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46177115</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Researchers Discover the Optimal Way to Optimize"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>It is not a mistake, it is just being cheeky.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 18 Oct 2025 07:14:03 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45625528</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45625528</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45625528</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> Remind me again why we need investors to fund bad ideas?<p>A lot of good ideas only look bad in hindsight. It costs time and money to determine goodness, and that deserves funding.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2025 11:38:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45472584</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45472584</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45472584</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Meta Ray-Ban Display"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The penultimate final frontier, adverts directly in front of your eyeballs 24/7, and tracking not just your position but your attention.<p>Only step beyond this is neural implants putting purchasing decisions directly into your grey matter.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2025 13:23:46 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45289395</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45289395</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45289395</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Europe is locking itself in to US LNG"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>There are a lot of posts here pushing batteries.<p>Batteries are an expensive solution that doesn't scale well at the grid level. It is useful for grid stability (fast frequency response) but simply a non-starter when you're dealing with national grids.<p>Batteries are an added cost to the system, without producing more electricity, and as a result prices will go up.<p>A far cheaper source of flexibility is Demand Side Response. Particularly data centres that are willing to be market actors. Compute can happen anywhere, so it should happen where the wind blows and the sun shines. It is cheaper to transmit bits than Megawatts.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 14:53:45 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45263135</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45263135</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45263135</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Europe is locking itself in to US LNG"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Please look at: <a href="https://app.electricitymaps.com/map/zone/CN/72h/hourly" rel="nofollow">https://app.electricitymaps.com/map/zone/CN/72h/hourly</a><p>China is heavily reliant on coal.<p>The US Grid is presently less carbon intensive than the Chinese grid.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 14:48:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45263057</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45263057</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45263057</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Europe is locking itself in to US LNG"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This is an insane suggestion if you had a concept for how expensive batteries are and the scale of flexibility issues on the european grid.<p>It also does nothing to help transmission grid frequency stability and control.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 14:38:24 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262876</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262876</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262876</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Europe is locking itself in to US LNG"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Batteries don't provide meaningful flexibility on a continental scale. They're useful in localised frequency control or microgrid flexibility.<p>An exercise to the reader, calculate the space and materials required to replace the average norwegian hydro reservoir with batteries.<p>Nuclear tech doesn't provide required ramp rates at a useful price. I do agree however that more nuclear helps.<p>The problem is dispatchability/flexibility, not storage. At a more complex level the issue is grid inertia and frequency response.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 14:37:06 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262861</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262861</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262861</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Europe is locking itself in to US LNG"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This is confidently incorrect.<p>Gas power generation is a necessary evil to balance out the variability of intermittent energy generation (i.e. wind and solar).<p>Hydropower isn't a feasible alternative because the easy resources have been developed.<p>The only alternative source of flexibility available today is demand side response.<p>Edit: I appreciate the down votes, as I've not explained in detail. It is a complex issue. My opinions are based on having a phd in the topic, 10+ years in control rooms, years of market operations and design, and years contributing to europe-wide risk assessment methodologies.<p>I emplore anyone who is actually interested in how energy mix actually impacts grid stability/reliability to look into the Eirgrid DS3 programme (<a href="https://www.eirgrid.ie/ds3-programme-delivering-secure-sustainable-electricity-system" rel="nofollow">https://www.eirgrid.ie/ds3-programme-delivering-secure-susta...</a>).</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 14:17:33 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262574</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262574</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45262574</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Folks, we have the best π"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Is 2 a number?<p>Is 4 a number?<p>Is 4/2 a number?<p>Is 3 a number?<p>Is 3/2 a number?<p>etc...<p>All of these symbols represent precise points on the numberline. Pi also represents a precise point on the numberline, so is it not a number?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 15 Sep 2025 10:33:33 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45248155</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45248155</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45248155</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Representing Python notebooks as dataflow graphs"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>This is well written and an interesting read but, embedding notebooks into your data pipelines smells horrible.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 09 Aug 2025 09:32:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44845190</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44845190</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44845190</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "[dead]"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I'm sorry, but this blogvertisement is so far up its own jargon hole that it is impossible to read it as anything more than: "we are inventing a problem that you can pay us to solve".</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2025 20:53:32 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44841589</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44841589</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44841589</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Nuclear Waste Reprocessing Gains Momentum in the U.S."]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> The storage tech exists and is in practice right now, no advancements needed.<p>The existence of the tech isn't the issue, it is the logistics, cost and practicality of building it at grid scale. If you try to calculate how many batteries you'd need to store the equivalent energy of a hydro reservoir, or one hour of a nuclear plant, then try to estimate the land required, you'd quickly discover how intractable the issue is.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 09 Jul 2025 22:51:38 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44515520</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44515520</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44515520</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "2025 Iberia Blackout Report [pdf]"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You can google "system inertia" as a starting point.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2025 22:52:04 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44361016</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44361016</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44361016</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "The Birmingham Blade: geographically tailored urban wind turbine designed by AI"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The article didn't do enough literature review, this isn't a new idea: <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148114006089" rel="nofollow">https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096014811...</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 07 Dec 2024 09:09:20 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42348375</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42348375</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42348375</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Ask HN: What are you working on (September 2024)?"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Should be any of:<p>- They had long tongues that they used to catch bugs.<p>- They have long tongues that they use to catch bugs.<p>- They had long tongues, which they used to catch bugs.<p>- They have long tongues, which they use to catch bugs.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 30 Sep 2024 00:33:03 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41692209</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41692209</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41692209</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Launch HN: Silurian (YC S24) – Simulate the Earth"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>you'll have trouble simulating the grid, but for energy data you might want to look at (or get in touch with) these people: <a href="https://app.electricitymaps.com/map" rel="nofollow">https://app.electricitymaps.com/map</a><p>They're a cool little team based in Copenhagen. Would be useful, for example, to look at the correlation between your weather data and regional energy production (solar and wind). Next level would be models to predict national hydro storage, but that is a lot more complex.<p>My advice is to drop the grid itself to the bottom of the list, and I say this as someone who worked at a national grid operator as the primary grid analyst. You'll never get access to sufficient data, and your model will never be correct. You're better off starting from a national 'adequacy' level and working your way down based on information made available via market operators.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 16 Sep 2024 16:57:32 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41558060</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41558060</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41558060</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by probablypower in "Here's a puzzle game. I call it Reverse the List of Integers"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I came to the exact same solution.<p>My feel for this type of puzzle is that there is a 'gravity' from the higher to lower value integers. So you want to help integers flow from the 7 to the 3. The state of the list then represents a sieve that dynamically restricts the flow paths from one step to the next. So at any time step your possible paths to flow the integers from 7 to 3 are quite restricted.<p>The first step of 753 -> 7143 may seem arbitrary at first, but you quickly realise that most other options result in long awkward paths where you move integers back and forth, or deadends.<p>For example, if you decide to split the 7 first your valid moves are 753 -> 6153 or 753 -> 1653. The first move still leaves you overloaded at the left most position, and you still need another split because you cant combine 1+5 or 5+3 due to duplicates or exceeding 7. So you don't really feel closer. Same with 1653, putting you in a position where all combinations exceed 7, and you need to further breakdown numbers, but you've already used up all your valid odd numbers, so you have to break 6 into 2 and 4 -> 12453. This is a dead end.<p>Fun morning coffee puzzle.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 12 Apr 2024 08:37:28 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40010528</link><dc:creator>probablypower</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40010528</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40010528</guid></item></channel></rss>