Hacker News: randcraw

New comment by randcraw in "What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality"

randcraw — Sun, 26 Jul 2026 16:18:38 +0000

Agreed. When tools evolve significantly the old production process has to be reworked into a new process and that takes time. In complex production lines that will include changes to subcontracting, supply chains, and even finance models. The changes arising in software production today will take years to stabilize into a new normal, even longer if the tools continue to advance in capability as LLMs are doing. And many software-dependent companies will fail in that time for moving either too fast, too slow, or most likely, too short-sightedly.

New comment by randcraw in "Are we offloading too much of our thinking to AI?"

randcraw — Wed, 15 Jul 2026 05:39:17 +0000

Or you could just submit a photo of someone else's poodle.

New comment by randcraw in "US seeks cheaper hunter-killer drones after Iran destroys $1B worth of Reapers"

randcraw — Thu, 09 Jul 2026 18:08:10 +0000

In the late 1960s daily TV news coverage revealed the horrors of war to the American public as never before (just as Brady's photos had done in the Civil War). That palpable gruesomeness was instrumental in the rising tide of unpopularity enjoyed by the war (and Johnson) by the elections of 1968.

New comment by randcraw in "US seeks cheaper hunter-killer drones after Iran destroys $1B worth of Reapers"

randcraw — Thu, 09 Jul 2026 17:57:56 +0000

Emergency is the mother of making exceptions. During both US gulf wars, the army broke from its long tradition of over-regulating new systems before they could be fielded, especially for small semi-autonomous platforms like flying drones and robots. Entirely new systems as well as major updates to fielded system were routinely prototyped in-country / on-the-battlefield in Iraq and Afghanistan. The demand for new capabilities and fixes was simply too great not to ship ASAP.

New comment by randcraw in "Nobody needs AI to search the Internet, court says in ruling against Google"

randcraw — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 15:48:47 +0000

I look forward to following this issue. We're at an inflection point in AI adoption where, for some uses, it _must_ be trustworthy. Failure to stick to the facts must doom it for such uses until its wild hair reliably and accountably can be tamed.

New comment by randcraw in "U.S. researchers face new restrictions on publishing with foreign collaborators"

randcraw — Fri, 22 May 2026 21:44:08 +0000

I think you would most certainly NOT prefer any Constitution, nor especially any Bill of Rights, that was rewritten by today's version of "We the People".

New comment by randcraw in "Eric Schmidt speech about AI booed during graduation"

randcraw — Mon, 18 May 2026 14:19:51 +0000

> It’s crazy how much worse Google search results are now than they used to be.

I could not agree more. Each time I do a google search, I feel like I've stepped into a severe reality distortion field. The results are simply WORTHLESS. It's not just that the AI summary at the top answers the wrong question, but the sequence of hits thereafter wander off into the weeds almost immediately. I routinely have to constrain the search in multiple ways (time bounds, specific word rejection, etc) just to get one or two relevant hits.

Frankly, I think I'm going to have to MOVE AWAY FROM GOOGLE to a subscription-based search service just to get any useful search results again.

New comment by randcraw in "Eric Schmidt speech about AI booed during graduation"

randcraw — Mon, 18 May 2026 14:06:09 +0000

Present generations see the primary role for AI as being identical to the biggest disruption to US business in the past century — namely the gigantic sucking sound from the outsourcing of millions of US jobs in order to reduce labor costs. Of course they're terrified of it. By singing its praises AND IGNORING THAT CONCERN, Schmidt showed that he couldn't be more out of touch with the top priority of this generation — WILL AI TAKE MY JOB?

It's like Steve Forbes cluelessly joking that rise of Private Equity will make it easier for the unemployed to buy another racehorse. WTF?

New comment by randcraw in "Ask HN: When did computers stop being fun?"

randcraw — Sat, 16 May 2026 22:53:53 +0000

I've noticed the same thing. IMO, the heyday of computing coincided with the peak of WiReD Magazine. Around 1995 interconnected computers and the WWW bootstrapped a revolution in spreading+sharing information that seemed certain to reshape cultural norms, organically, bottom up, for the better. It seemed the world would never be the same. Heady times. That sense of optimism lasted until the computer unicorns morphed into monopolies. After that the roles reversed and all us net denizens became unicorn fodder. It's hard to stay upbeat after you realize you're no longer in charge and are constantly being manipulated wherever you go online.

New comment by randcraw in "Power Tools Got Worse on Purpose. Who Owns DeWalt, Craftsman, and Milwaukee?"

randcraw — Fri, 15 May 2026 14:48:24 +0000

> Surely in the long run…

And that's the rub. PE is all about short term ROI at any price. Their business model doesn't take product superiority or brand loyalty into account. If a widget can be made cheaper, you do it, damn the collateral damage.

New comment by randcraw in "Software engineering may no longer be a lifetime career"

randcraw — Mon, 11 May 2026 18:29:41 +0000

Yeah, I've seen the same thing happen to data miners in the pharma industry. An increasing fraction of young biologists have skill in basic statistical DM as well as web search proficiency sufficient to gather DM code analysis examples, even without using AI. In the very near future I expect almost all R&D exploratory DM will be done by pharma domain experts (biologists and chemists) rather than served by DM experts (computer scientists or engineers).

New comment by randcraw in "Software engineering may no longer be a lifetime career"

randcraw — Mon, 11 May 2026 18:24:24 +0000

Yeah, IEEE Spectrum has responded to the dissimilar roles in SW dev by ranking programming language popularity contextually, by separating the project domains and ranking the languages only within each domain. That's a lot more useful than allowing the single dominant project domain to silence the recessive ones, as TIOBE does.

New comment by randcraw in "Software engineering may no longer be a lifetime career"

randcraw — Mon, 11 May 2026 18:11:05 +0000

Rather than coining a new word like adaption, I'd call this acculturation. It's reshaping not only SW dev but natural language too -- how we read and write and how we speak.

Everyone knows that AI-written slop isn't worth actually reading. So when reading mass media content we skim over each paragraph's opening phrases rather than read it deliberately, sentence by sentence. We also do this while writing notes, dropping determiners, acronymming common phrases, and making references to characters/scenes in popular media. Now with the rise of vocal interfaces and ever shorter rounds of engagement, all this abbreviating will only exponentiate.

New comment by randcraw in "Software engineering may no longer be a lifetime career"

randcraw — Mon, 11 May 2026 17:54:13 +0000

Yeah, 95% of the available advancement in computing is in people management, not technical mastery. Businesses much prefer to hire externally to serve any non-core capabilities, especially to minimize internal culpability should anything go wrong. That leaves little opportunity to think outside the box technically.

New comment by randcraw in "AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing"

randcraw — Mon, 13 Apr 2026 16:34:45 +0000

Clothes are a good example of what ails online shopping. When you physically visit a clothing store, you chose it knowing the quality and style of that merchant -- you thereby filter out a huge fraction of the market that you want to exclude from your search.

But online (because the available search criteria are so imprecise) your search brings up every possible form of clothing, especially the stuff that's a commodity (or hyped by major e-merchants) -- cheap, popular with 25 year olds, colorless, largely disposable. It's hopeless unless you yourself are a commodity -- indiscriminating, predictable, and totally average.

New comment by randcraw in "AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing"

randcraw — Mon, 13 Apr 2026 16:15:30 +0000

And it ignores the fact that, if you refuse to remember any facts because they can be looked up, you'll be unable to form any new ideas because you'll know nothing, and you won't know what is out there to be looked up.

And of course, what if your phone dies?

New comment by randcraw in "AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing"

randcraw — Mon, 13 Apr 2026 16:08:44 +0000

The more the role of the tool, the less the role of the craftsman.

New comment by randcraw in "Michigan 'digital age' bills pulled after privacy concerns raised"

randcraw — Mon, 13 Apr 2026 15:39:37 +0000

That coordinated effort also includes the buying up of US media sources by billionaires and gigacorps to control the content of not just news sources and social forums, but every electronic window we have onto the world.

Remember, the panopticon observed people who were in a prison.

New comment by randcraw in "AI Will Be Met with Violence, and Nothing Good Will Come of It"

randcraw — Sun, 12 Apr 2026 13:47:39 +0000

So far.

New comment by randcraw in "Sweden goes back to basics, swapping screens for books in the classroom"

randcraw — Thu, 02 Apr 2026 14:55:36 +0000

Just as "there is no royal road to mathematics", no AI can do your learning for you. The need for memorization of essential math identities (like multiplication tables and use of fractions) or rules of grammar (like verb conjugation or use of anaphora) will never be enhanced by AI. There is an essential role for good old fashioned rote learning that can't be avoided. To pretend AI will not impede that learning is a fool's errand, literally.