The most intelligent model at a given time is much larger than the previous, which is why token costs for GPT5.5 are higher than 5.4. But you should expect that 2 years from now, serving a GPT5.5 sized model will be cheaper than GPT5.5 today. You should expect it to be even cheaper to get an equally intelligent model 2 years from now, because distillation techniques are effective at reducing the necessary parameter count for the same benchmark scores.

My method of walking to work is back (going for an 8 hour walk , voice dictating the whole way)

legacy manual codebases which require human review will be the new "maintaining a FORTRAN mainframe". they'll stick around for longer than you'd expect (because they still work) , at legacy stagnant engineering companies

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47710058

Points: 3

# Comments: 0

There was no real backlash against Adobe. They added subscriptions and grew revenue. Some people grumbled online, but they paid, which means they don’t like the old model, they like the new one.

You have to either 1. Solve the problem for a new customer who hasn’t solved this problem. 2. Solve a totally different problem than your competition. or 3. Invent a completely different paradigm for approaching solving that problem.

A good case study is search. Nobody could compete with Google, until ChatGPT. Note that ChatGPT is not just “Google but better”, but instead does (3): it’s a different paradigm for answering your questions. Even though it’s much better at solving this problem, people still don’t switch from Google. Most of ChatGPT growth comes from (1): new customers, because ChatGPT usage is highest among young people who haven’t already solved their problem and aren’t sticky with Google.

You underestimate how sticky customers are out of habit. Cable news is now an inferior product for information retrieval, but it’s sticky because it’s already there, solving the problem, for that generation.

These are discoveries of workflows. Some of them work some of them don’t. The ones that really click, they explode in popularity like OpenClaw.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47157439

Points: 1

# Comments: 1

But it’s not so simple, because Stripe faces liability for merchant fraud. If you are high volume you negotiate IC+, where the plus is .1%-.4%.

The valuations price in expected growth as well as unit economics. Mastercard doesn’t have as much room to grow because cards already saturate consumer payments.