This might sound like a joke or overly cynical but I'm being totally serious. Merit and product quality are only very loosely correlated with funding success at this stage.

The vast majority of projects don't get VC funded and of the small number that do most have some sort of relationship or other in into the funding world.

This doesn't mean you can't get funded, but it's a huge longshot. If you already have an income and some savings consider bootstrapping the project yourself, at least until you have some traction in the market.

I also expect their robotaxis and robots to be a joke business-wise for the foreseeable future, but I totally disagree that they have much to do with the stock price. The real driver is Elon's immense cult following. The Tesla stock price has always been absurd relative the actual business, but cult followers don't care about financial statements, or engineering work, or business logic. They will ignore all of that to support their leader.

Elon has been spewing blatant lies for well over a decade at this point and always claims to be chasing some shiny object a year out that will transform the business and grow its revenue to match the valuation. It never happens, but people don't care.

He has lost some supporters from his peak due to his political and social media insanity, but most of the diehards have kept by him. The odds of him diving back into MAGA politics in a visible way is a larger stock price risk than continuously declining sales, but even then he would have to go to extreme lengths to shake off most of the people who have stuck behind him for this long.

Would you go to your normal job tomorrow if someone who has a history of carrying out threats has threatened to kill you for it?

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47695162

Points: 6

# Comments: 1

Many software devs work in teams on large projects where LLMs have a more nuanced value. I myself mostly work on a large project inside a large organization. Spitting out lines of code is practically never a bottleneck for me. Running a suite of agents to generate out a ton of code for my coworkers to review doesn't really solve a problem that I have. I still use Claude in other ways and find it useful, but I'm certainly not 10x more productive with it.

It seems like every LLM thread for the past couple years is full of posts saying that the latest hot AI tool/approach has made them unbelievably more productive, followed by others saying they found that same thing underwhelming.

There are only two OS options for phones and computers for 99+% of people and it will be trivially easy to restrict local models on them.

As bad as the regime is, and it's very bad, what we're doing is even worse for most Iranians and the odds a democratic government arises from the ashes of our bombing campaign is incredibly unlikely.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47605462

Points: 5

# Comments: 2

I'm also not aware of a single case in history where a massive bombing campaign from a hostile country resulted in an immediate populist uprising and a regime change that favored that aggressor country. Having your city bombed for weeks on end tends to cause people to shelter where they can, worry solely about how they will survive the wreckage, and bond with their fellow citizens.

The fact that an air campaign and magical thinking was the complete game plan from trump and hegseth shows how utterly unqualified they are for the positions they have.

I've been wondering if all of these companies have some system for flagging upset responses. Those cases seem like they are far more likely than average to point to weaknesses in the model and/or potentially dangerous situations.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47576022

Points: 5

# Comments: 1

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47574870

Points: 4

# Comments: 4

Granted many of the OPs are very biased in the poster's favor. Most I've read fall into one of two buckets: either they want to gripe about some obviously bad behavior, or it's a controved and likely fake story.