Go out tonight and just look at the sky for 5 mins and I'll guarantee you'll see a couple of satellites flying past.

As with a lot of other technologies, the genie is out of the bottle and I don't think we're putting him back there again, this is the future.

I don't think any country invites and then carries out a massive purge of existing labor as it sees fit.

If it does, then it won't be appealing to the class of person you're seeking to attract.

(a) competent enough to pass the hiring bar (b) willing to move to places like Seattle / SF / NYC where these companies were hiring.

You only need to scroll back to a couple of years ago where people were turning their noses up at all forms of recruiter outreach and complaining about how aggressive the recruiters were. What privileged times we lived in.

Since 2022 / post COVID interest rate hikes / AI, the hiring dropped and college kids can't get jobs. The first bump in the economic road you hit, you want to scale down H1B capacity, cancel green cards, banish people. What happens if hiring picks up again? Do you just re-instate the H1b program? Or be resigned to getting high tax paying / high spending jobs shipped off shore? Will people really come to the US on a H1B if they know they can get scaled down like a cloud server at the first sign of economic trouble or the first sign that some politician wants some brownie points?

IMO this is all very short term thinking / political theater to score brownie points with the republican base for the elections.

Nothing here is good policy. Sure there's fraud, fix the fraud. You don't like the ad process, make it better.

But even the narrative that hey microsoft fired 1k citizens and hired 1k H1bs that are lower paying is false. These companies are huge organizations. If you laid off 2k people during your annual cycle in Xbox and start hiring 2k people in cloud 2 months from now (some of whom maybe H1Bs who are also impacted by layoffs), it's not the equivalent of firing an American and hiring a lower paid H1B.

As far as I know there isn't any wage discrimination at these big companies like Adobe or Microsoft. Everyone gets paid basically in-line with what levels.fyi says as a band for their level.

Drivers, Coding environment setup etc. are great too and it's nice to have everything logged so the next (more powerful) agent can come and improve the thing once in a while.

Most of the time I don't need what the bench tests and I'm not really giving them completely ambiguous tasks without any refinement.

I only find marginal differences between models at this point and it almost feels like personality quirks in each model than anything.

Thank you!

It's a bit upsetting but I don't harbor the early 2000s naiveté about the free internet where regulation doesn't exist, the data exchange happens over open formats and connecting people from across the world is viewed as an absolute positive.

Govt meddling on social media platforms, the filter bubble, platforms locking data in, teenage depression stats post Instagram, doom scrolling on tiktok have flipped me the other way.

Internet Anonymity is going to die - let's see if that makes this place any better.

It might happen but it's extremely difficult even using state of the art models like stable diffusion v6 to get consistent results. There's usually some part or the other of the picture that's broken and it takes a lot of work with prompting, blending, varying to get it to work.

Buy the subscription for 30$ or whatever and give it a shot. First you'll be amazed but then you start noticing the minor flaws and how much effort it takes to make it good enough.

It's still possible that some jobs will get replaced, not every NPC detail needs to be hand drawn perfectly, but let's see.

I'm happy to collab if folks want to.