But secondary to that, symbols != semantics. If I had a magical machine which could appear from the outside to be reasoning, but upon closer introspection was simply simulating reasoning, by definition it would not be reasoning. And yet that is the criterion you seem to think indicates reasoning ability. So it's not a sufficient criterion.

Claiming we've figured out the fundamentals behind reasoning is hopelessly naive.

Reasoning is an emergent property of complex systems. Prediction is not. Thus you cannot claim reasoning drives prediction.

But once the insanity ends LLMs will be packaged as tools for developers to use to boost their productivity, and we'll consider them as we do IDE's and debuggers and stuff. But we have to get through this hype cycle first.

Or are people really just yoloing and not even verifying that the code generation is correct? I know it’s a bit of a meme, but are people actually doing the meme in irl where there are actual consequences??

But yeah, smoking is on the rise. I'm a youngish person and whenever I go out and meet others, it's quite rare for someone to turn down a cig.