Hacker News: thoughtstheseus

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "US businesses and consumers pay 90% of tariff costs, New York Fed says"

thoughtstheseus — Thu, 12 Feb 2026 22:21:56 +0000

Great point. Many Americans would prefer to buy (given) a flying car vs. build a flying car. Personally I believe there is dignity in self determination. To each their own.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "US businesses and consumers pay 90% of tariff costs, New York Fed says"

thoughtstheseus — Thu, 12 Feb 2026 22:15:13 +0000

You also lower the profits from the exporting country (China) through reduced volumes. China has been on a massive productivity growth agenda that is only sustained through open trade and exports.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "U.S. government has lost more than 10k STEM PhDs since Trump took office"

thoughtstheseus — Wed, 28 Jan 2026 01:21:07 +0000

That’s the goal. The current USA admin wants the 10k STEM PhDs to move into the private sector.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "Statement from Federal Reserve Chair"

thoughtstheseus — Mon, 12 Jan 2026 19:21:29 +0000

They’re the wrong numbers and people misunderstand the numbers. The consumption basket for CPI (food) is determined by consumption surveys. Not desire or historical consumption. You can have less and lower quality food with a rising spend on food.

For example, food away from home is down. People cannot afford to go out to eat as much. Rather than reflect the higher cost of going out to eat, the consumption basket reduces the proportion of food away from home.

There are also hard limits on food spending. People have limited money. Instead what you seeing is a continued increase in SNAP and record food bank usage.

Make no mistake. The young family or median person is worse off with food security today despite spending more.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "The data center boom is concentrated in the U.S."

thoughtstheseus — Wed, 07 Jan 2026 03:25:11 +0000

Yes. USA financial markets are the envy of the world. Lots of capital which flows quickly.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "USD share as global reserve currency drops to lowest since 1994"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 28 Dec 2025 20:10:32 +0000

Agree it will land more stable for most parties but it will be turbulent getting there. Global free trade under the USD has created many structural fragilities. Principally that we have global overproduction outside the USA.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "USD share as global reserve currency drops to lowest since 1994"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 28 Dec 2025 19:57:43 +0000

That’s entirely the point. Leave the USA financial system or contribute more. If you pick an single alternative currency I’ll run through the reasons why most would choose the US Dollar.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "USD share as global reserve currency drops to lowest since 1994"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 28 Dec 2025 19:32:15 +0000

Some dude at Treasury even wrote a book about. Juan Zarate, author of Treasury's War: The Unleashing of a New Era of Financial Warfare.

Ready to build Alaska's next legendary lodge?

thoughtstheseus — Thu, 28 Aug 2025 03:30:12 +0000

Article URL: https://www.motherlodehatcherpass.com/submit-a-proposal

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45048072

Points: 4

# Comments: 0

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "$3.1B annual cost estimated for fossil fuel plants DOE won't allow to retire"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 17 Aug 2025 16:06:15 +0000

$30B over ten years to reduce blackouts and grid instability is a good deal. For reference, the 2021 Texas blackout caused ~$100b in damage.

Very very few people in the power industry want to run coal plants- but they cannot in good conscience turn them off. The whole “turn off the lights” mantra is not funny. It’s unfortunate the grid is fragile and facing increased demand. Operating coal plants, preferably at zero or super low utilization rates, for another ten years or so until the grid is more resilient seems reasonable.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "US Supreme Court limits federal judges' power to block Trump orders"

thoughtstheseus — Sat, 28 Jun 2025 17:27:33 +0000

If litigants receive relief through a PI, it addresses their specific harm. Extending it nationwide may be unwanted if other jurisdictions have different views on the policy. The Supreme Court’s ruling ensures relief is tailored to the parties or district, preventing a single district judge from dictating national policy.

While federal law applies uniformly, reasonable people and courts can disagree on controversial issues. Localized PIs allow diverse judicial input and foster a broader dialogue before a final ruling.

Court shopping for nationwide injunctions, common in cases like Obama’s DACA or Trump’s policies, lets one judge halt national policy…

Affirming a democratically elected executive’s mandate, Obama with DACA or Trump with immigration reforms is reasonable and respects the separation of powers.

IMO Congress needs to act more effectively, passing clear laws on issues like immigration to reduce reliance on executive orders and judicial battles.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "US Supreme Court limits federal judges' power to block Trump orders"

thoughtstheseus — Sat, 28 Jun 2025 06:05:40 +0000

If you win in lower court you can still bring the case to the Supreme Court to create national uniformity. One of the consolidated cases for Brown vs. Board of Education won in Delaware while others lost.

That is the appropriate way to determine national uniformity in law.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "U.S. bombs Iranian nuclear sites"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 22 Jun 2025 04:41:53 +0000

South Korea looks like they are pursing nukes already.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "Retailers will soon have only about 7 weeks of full inventories left"

thoughtstheseus — Thu, 01 May 2025 02:36:57 +0000

Funny thing about a recession now is you can have standards of living increase for 10s millions of people due to how concentrated consumption and wealth is. Weird times

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "EU offered 'zero-for-zero' deal to US weeks before tariff announcement"

thoughtstheseus — Tue, 08 Apr 2025 13:54:01 +0000

That makes sense to me. They both banned Samurai swords.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "EU offered 'zero-for-zero' deal to US weeks before tariff announcement"

thoughtstheseus — Tue, 08 Apr 2025 07:55:01 +0000

What you are saying is simply not sufficient. Norway does more goods trade with China and for more advanced / complex goods. Norway is funding USA’s direct geopolitical competitor.

In case it’s not obvious, 100% tariffs on China means economic decoupling. Pick a side or strike out on your own but globalization as we know it just ended.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "Kill your Feeds – Stop letting algorithms dictate what you think"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 09 Mar 2025 20:11:29 +0000

I would pay tons of money for control of the algorithms. It’s annoying I can’t tell YouTube, twitter, etc. what type of content I want to see, what I do not, the frequency, etc.

The complete lack of control by users of their feed makes Feed Providers publishers imo. Give me control or take responsibility for the content.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "As Gen X Nears Retirement, Many Fear They Can't Afford It"

thoughtstheseus — Mon, 06 Jan 2025 19:27:29 +0000

You can see this dynamic in various investment markets. Stocks are priced according to their expected earnings while fart coin is a repository of excess liquidity. If you massively increase liquidity through money/debt creation you pump asset prices. Assets with a well determined return profile are inflated, but those with an unknown distribution (speculation)see an explosion of value. Only people with large stores of wealth can invest in the memes without risking financial ruin from crashes. Terrible policy choice imo

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "Will the China cycle come for Airbus and Boeing?"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 27 Oct 2024 22:02:04 +0000

Yes. Airplanes are complex, high value products with military applications. The skill set to successfully develop and field a fleet of planes is an obvious upskilling of labor which will bleed over to other fields. China cares about economic development so they will build planes over and over again until they master it. Aviation firms are one of the few industries which closely protected their trade secrets making knowledge transfers tough.

New comment by thoughtstheseus in "Anduril to open software-based manufacturing hub to scale production"

thoughtstheseus — Sun, 11 Aug 2024 01:39:41 +0000

The defense primes are 5-10x larger by today’s market cap. It seems unlikely the defense industry will shrink from here. Plenty of room to run. Anduril has been conservative on valuation imo.