Hacker News: threatripper

New comment by threatripper in "Nvidia's Jensen Huang says 'AGI has arrived' and congratulates OpenAI"

threatripper — Mon, 07 Sep 2026 05:51:42 +0000

Based on my own experience AI (Fable, Astra) still has major blind spots and is prone to draw obviously wrong conclusions from thin air. Conclusions based on weak evidence that are so obviously blatantly wrong that you question if it can think at all. At the same time it already completely outperforms humans in many cases in many areas. The utility of current AI is in what you need. Can you take the good parts and cheaply compensate for the weakness OR do the mistakes completely kill it for you?

I would therefore not call it AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) because clearly it isn't but ASI (Artificial Special Intelligence) which clearly it is in many areas.

The problem is that ASI may be enough to win wars but not enough to save the economy.

New comment by threatripper in "Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board"

threatripper — Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:40:21 +0000

We need to start numbering these things. I opened the board today and thought "oh, another one again?!" but it's just the thread of yesterday.

New comment by threatripper in "GPT-6 Astra on OpenRouter"

threatripper — Sat, 05 Sep 2026 03:52:50 +0000

It seems to start understanding how bicycles work. Look at the front fork. There are reasons why it's shaped the way it is in real bicycles. If you do physical simulations in 3D with reinforcement learning you will start understanding that most of the arrangements that the other agents use just won't work.

New comment by threatripper in "How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?"

threatripper — Thu, 03 Sep 2026 07:53:28 +0000

There is plenty of evidence that they have improved in all benchmarks and also in my private experience. But have they improved in the things they still fail at? No, they still fail at them. You need only one example of failure to prove that it still fails. They still fail a lot on many real world tasks.

So, depending on what you ask, they may have not improved even a tiny bit.

New comment by threatripper in "How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?"

threatripper — Wed, 02 Sep 2026 06:58:15 +0000

Apparently that's necessary and sufficient for getting views. In these interesting times when the future is very uncertain we like to hear people speaking with certainty about the future. Especially people who appear to not be paid for it.

Can he predict the future? No. Can he pretend to be able to predict the future? Yes.

New comment by threatripper in "How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?"

threatripper — Wed, 02 Sep 2026 06:52:44 +0000

Being early is the same as being wrong. Being lucky is the same as being right.

New comment by threatripper in "Gemini 3.7 Flash"

threatripper — Thu, 13 Aug 2026 18:08:18 +0000

True, if you have a codebase that works in practice but has dozens of loose ends and poorly defined edge cases than it can chase off into rabbit holes because "oh wait, what if x is undefined instead of null? How is y defined? This outdated package has long known severe security holes and should not be used anymore, do we actually need it?".

New comment by threatripper in "Gemini 3.7 Flash"

threatripper — Thu, 13 Aug 2026 18:01:23 +0000

Nobody except corporations who built workflows on top of it and don't care about the price because the developer already moved on and nobody wants to touch it.

New comment by threatripper in "Extreme 220GHz+Broadband Silicon Capacitor X2SC 0201M 22nF BV11"

threatripper — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 18:29:41 +0000

Figure 1 made me laugh out loud.

New comment by threatripper in "Magnitude 7.4 Earthquake – 5 km S of San José del Palmar, Colombia"

threatripper — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 18:27:51 +0000

I fear that we can only predict them if we deliberately trigger them to release the energy.

New comment by threatripper in "An Interesting Fourier Transform – 1/f Noise (2007)"

threatripper — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 10:05:14 +0000

1/f noise basically kills averaging. You collect more signal but at the same time equally more noise.

New comment by threatripper in "I've succesfully compiled Netscape 3.0.2 on a 64 Debian"

threatripper — Fri, 07 Aug 2026 06:32:33 +0000

Apparently LLMs are very good at decompilation. I mean it makes sense, they are trained on readable code and they understand logical structure very well. And a lot of real-world problems involve inverse thinking.

https://reveng.ai/blog/training-an-llm-to-decompile-assembly...

New comment by threatripper in "Anthropic CEO reportedly worried new hires only care about money"

threatripper — Fri, 07 Aug 2026 06:26:32 +0000

If you pay your employees enough to sing all day about how much they love you they will sing.

New comment by threatripper in "AMD acquires Taalas to boost inference performance by etching models in silicon"

threatripper — Fri, 07 Aug 2026 06:16:34 +0000

It's not just speed, it will consume a lot less energy per token, maybe even more than 100x difference. And cost for a chip that runs that one model will also go down a lot once volume scales up. They will end up way cheaper than flexible GPU chips.

I expect AI models chopped up into building blocks where 99.9% of the compute is fixed but glued together with flexible "fine tuning" layers that will adapt them to specific applications. Those kind of chips will run 99% of consumer AI and at some point be integrated into consumer devices.

New comment by threatripper in "Wind and solar overtake fossil fuels in Germany for the first time"

threatripper — Tue, 04 Aug 2026 15:37:53 +0000

The real crank you need to look at is where we dig the resources out of the ground. All of that will eventually end up in the atmosphere. Plug that hole. Stop digging and drilling.

The invisible hand of the free market will take care of the rest. If red beef consumes too many resources then it will be too expensive to consume. Simple as that.

Unfortunately fossil fuels make a lot of money and people are hungry for more, so we can't do anything about it really. We can only shift blame and distract to pretend we care.

New comment by threatripper in "Wind and solar overtake fossil fuels in Germany for the first time"

threatripper — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 19:13:02 +0000

How many miles does the burger drive my car? Not to question your numbers but they lack context. Also, it would be good for nature if there were fewer or no humans on this planet. But then there would be no human here to enjoy nature.

New comment by threatripper in "Google kills Earth AI generator after one day"

threatripper — Sat, 01 Aug 2026 14:24:03 +0000

Yeah, it's way easier to argue that the product is a bad idea if they give you all the resources to build, release and grow it but there's just not enough customers showing up.

The alternative might be internal battles to kill it that take up time and energy and everybody can continue their argument forever.

New comment by threatripper in "Google kills Earth AI generator after one day"

threatripper — Sat, 01 Aug 2026 13:37:18 +0000

Do you get promoted for not launching a product? The interests of the individual and the institution do not always perfectly align.

New comment by threatripper in "Kimi K3: second only to Fable 5 on AA-Briefcase"

threatripper — Wed, 22 Jul 2026 05:56:20 +0000

Can we assume that the test is still private when it was run on many cloud providers?

New comment by threatripper in "Who's afraid of Chinese models?"

threatripper — Tue, 21 Jul 2026 07:33:41 +0000

Also add electricity 50% on top for cooling the DC.