<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: vannevar</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=vannevar</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 22:11:41 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=vannevar" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The second law of thermodynamics hasn't been proven either, but I'm fairly confident in it. ;-)</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 15:03:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48413490</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48413490</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48413490</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>...if they indeed are running a ponzi it would be surprising it could last so long.<p>There's a practice in the loan industry called "pretend and extend," which basically means endlessly extending credit to lendees who are behind to avoid acknowledging the loss. Remember, in Carvana's case the loan buyer only exists to take on debt, not be a going concern. I think much of the market actually realizes Carvana is a scam, they just see that it is a relatively sustainable one as long as the government doesn't step in. And they don't see that happening, particularly with the current administration.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 14:14:28 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412853</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412853</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412853</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>My opinion, yes. But if someone said they had invented anit-gravity, then showed you a bowling ball "floating" but with a sheet covering any potential support, you'd be pretty suspicious. And if they refused to remove the sheet, and had previously been convicted of fraud, you'd probably be extremely suspicious. But it would still only be your opinion until the sheet was removed.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:56:01 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412643</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412643</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412643</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>If "many businesses" operate this way, then "many businesses" are committing fraud. You can't publicly claim to be selling loans to an unrelated company when in fact you control that company.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:50:29 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412559</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412559</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412559</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>See my reply to @rtpg. The short answer is that it is believed they are selling high-risk loans to a company they control, making it look like the publicly traded Carvana is some kind of miracle in the car industry while offloading the risk to anonymous shell companies.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:19:57 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412144</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412144</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412144</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>They're an outlier in the industry in terms of profit per car. But they don't actually get revenue from selling cars, their revenue comes from selling car loans. So they're making the additional margin on the financing. They are also famous for not turning down loan applications. So putting the pieces together, it seems like they are selling high risk loans at a healthy profit. Which brings up the question of who is buying those loans. They don't disclose the buyers, but claim that those buyers are not controlled by Carvana or its parent. Given the history of fraud, it's hard to take those claims at face value. The suspicion is that they are selling the loans to family-controlled shell companies and leveraging the stock to finance the scheme.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:10:29 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412007</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412007</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48412007</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>All that an inclusion of these new companies would accomplish is a bailout of their stockholders by pension funds and ETFs where millions of regular people shoulder all the downside risk.<p>Carvana is the poster child for this. It's astonishing that a company with a history of shady practices, and  that has yet to offer a convincing explanation for why it is not a scam, is part of the S&P 500.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 04:37:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48408017</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48408017</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48408017</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "American capitalism has taken an apocalyptic turn"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>Can you explain what is wrong with people having different levels of wealth?<p>There's nothing wrong with it, in moderation. Where it becomes a problem is when the distribution of wealth starts diverging widely from people's expectation of what a fair distribution would be, accounting for different levels of ability and luck. Aside from this cognitive dissonance, there are also pragmatic limits on how big a disparity can be while still having a functional democracy. It's clear that truly enormous disparities in wealth, made even worse by a lack of regulation in political donation, lead to major distortions in the principle of "one person, one vote" which is a cornerstone of democracy.<p>>Or asked differently, if it is bad, should every individual have the exact same wealth?<p>No, because people have different levels of ability and experience different amounts of luck. Inequality is inevitable, and the vast majority of people understand and accept that. But they also expect that the system should at least roughly resemble a meritocracy, and that is impossible to maintain in an unregulated capital system because of the feedback loop between capital and income. Most professional sports leagues recognize this problem: once a franchise starts winning, they make more money, which allows them to buy better players, which leads to more wins, etc, until you have a league where a handful of teams can win the championship and the others are perennial also-rans. So they cap the amount of money that can be used for salaries. They are free, of course, to make as much money as they can, they just can't plow it all back into player salaries. Capital is regulated to preserve the fairness of the system. That doesn't mean the teams are all equal, there are still franchises that perform better over time than others. But it's more clearly tied to intrinsic merit like coaching systems and player development, not just going out and buying proven superstars.<p>Similarly, a person of average skill can get lucky and make a large amount of money. Having that capital in turn makes it easier to make more money. Over time, and across many such situations, capital starts outrunning merit as a predictor of someone's future income, which is socially demoralizing. That's where the US is today: a pervasive feeling that the system is rigged. To a great extent, this widespread perception contributes to the current political climate in the US.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 04:08:29 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48407803</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48407803</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48407803</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "Iran war drains US oil stocks to lowest level since 2004"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>There is another possibility: "they" are interested parties working to keep futures down as long as possible. When the space shuttle Columbia re-entered with a massive hole in its wing, the control systems kept it stable for quite awhile, until finally the vehicle went so far out of the control band that it could no longer compensate and it disintegrated. We may be seeing the same thing happen on a much larger system that is experiencing conditions outside of its operating history.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2026 01:44:09 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48392627</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48392627</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48392627</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "Cars collect a startling amount of data about you"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>One can easily imagine pragmatic Tories saying the same thing about the American Revolution: "We should have done this 30 years ago, there's not point in trying now."</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 15:18:27 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324238</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324238</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324238</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "Cars collect a startling amount of data about you"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The problem is that in an unregulated capital system, money naturally flows uphill. The industrial revolution made this clear to everyone early on, and so we got anti-trust laws and progressive taxation. But over the decades, anti-trust laws have been weakened or left unenforced, and progressive taxation largely died in the 1980s.  We need to reinvigorate these measures, and also look for more structural ways to counter-balance the advantage of capital over merit in our economy.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 15:14:49 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324167</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324167</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324167</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "Cars collect a startling amount of data about you"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>So at best we can have system where you can keep your data and pay more, or sell your data and pay less.<p>And that would be fine, but without more rigorous controls on corporate behavior, you'll end up paying more and not keeping your data.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 15:07:19 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324039</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324039</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48324039</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "Cars collect a startling amount of data about you"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Every corporation is trying to spy on you. Why wouldn't they? There is no real punishment, and large reward. As long as that is true, superficial regulations around tracking will always be circumvented or hollowed out. We need fundamental change in the way corporations interact with society, and in what is expected of them.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 03:42:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48318744</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48318744</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48318744</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "How to convert between wealth and income tax"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>A progressive property tax would actually <i>lower</i> housing costs, by reducing real estate prices. There would be a homestead exemption, so there would be no impact on taxes for individual homeowners. I think it would tend to stabilize rents, as larger landholders would be forced to shed properties, which would be snapped up by smaller ones. The overall effect would be a decentralization of real estate, which in turn means a decentralization of wealth.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 28 May 2026 14:37:20 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48309577</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48309577</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48309577</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "How to convert between wealth and income tax"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>If you properly taxed real estate in a progressive way, you wouldn't have to bother with taxing paper wealth at all---the collective value of paper is already reflected in the price of land. People with large paper fortunes inevitably buy real estate, and when they do, their paper wealth inflates the price. This is why median residential housing prices have dramatically outpaced median wage increases, along with anything else tied to real estate, like sports and concert tickets.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 23 May 2026 02:01:16 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48243821</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48243821</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48243821</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "How to convert between wealth and income tax"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>It already exists in the form of property taxes, which are quite unpopular.<p>For an unpopular tax, the property tax is remarkably ubiquitous. Are there really any popular taxes?</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 23 May 2026 01:57:02 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48243788</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48243788</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48243788</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "U.S. Schools Face a Crisis as the Number of Children Drops"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Clamping down on immigration will go down as one of the greatest policy blunders in US history. The American people are about to find out the hard way that national economies are essentially pyramid schemes.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2026 00:18:56 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48070394</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48070394</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48070394</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "Consumer Confidence Diverging for Low- and High-Income Households"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I think this correlates roughly with the rate of stock ownership by income level. When the current equities bubble bursts, we will probably see more convergence between the income groups.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 03:43:17 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48058264</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48058264</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48058264</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "FCC Orders a Review of ABC's Broadcast Licenses"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>I see that folks could see this as evidence that I live in a bubble...<p>Not all bubbles are created equal. In the US, Republicans tend to rely on a smaller pool of news sources (<a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/journalism/2025/06/10/the-political-gap-in-americans-news-sources/" rel="nofollow">https://www.pewresearch.org/journalism/2025/06/10/the-politi...</a>). And those few sources are increasingly interdependent. Outlets like Fox News and Newsmax generally follow Trump's lead, which is how they got into trouble on the election fraud claims. in addition, the Republican Party actively works to insulate Trump from criticism via memes like TDS (literally implying that anyone who criticizes Trump has a mental illness) and "fake news" (simply dismissing inconvenient facts), for which there is no liberal equivalent.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 22:50:28 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47941907</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47941907</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47941907</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by vannevar in "If America's so rich, how'd it get so sad?"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>>Gen Z home ownership is outpacing millenial home ownership at the same age.<p>Not according to this Redfin report (also linked by others in the thread):<p>"Take 28-year-olds as an example: 38.3% of 28-year-old Gen Zers owned their home in 2025, compared to 42.5% of Gen Xers when they were 28 and 44.4% of baby boomers when they were 28." (There is an accompanying chart in the linked report.)<p><a href="https://www.redfin.com/news/homeownership-rate-by-generation-2025/" rel="nofollow">https://www.redfin.com/news/homeownership-rate-by-generation...</a><p>That seems to show a pretty clear decline in home affordability over time, for people of the same age.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 23:43:52 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47883719</link><dc:creator>vannevar</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47883719</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47883719</guid></item></channel></rss>