Hacker News: warlog

New comment by warlog in "US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid"

warlog — Thu, 23 Apr 2026 23:22:30 +0000

They should run for Congress

New comment by warlog in "Will a 50-Year Mortgage Make Homes More Affordable?"

warlog — Tue, 11 Nov 2025 02:07:15 +0000

This will mean extending loans to those that current lenders are not making loans too. So rates will have to increase in order cover increased defaults (the borrowers aren't different). Increasing interest rates will drop prices.

Or maybe it's the reverse.

New comment by warlog in "The gambler's fallacy is not a fallacy?"

warlog — Thu, 14 Apr 2022 09:39:04 +0000

No.

The house always wins, until it doesn't. And on a long enough time scale...

New comment by warlog in "Tell HN: Recruiters are lying about remote positions"

warlog — Thu, 07 Apr 2022 16:55:43 +0000

Agreed. Except it's the quiet intro-psychos that are the most dangerous.

New comment by warlog in "Russia says it used 'hypersonic missiles' in Ukraine: Report"

warlog — Sat, 19 Mar 2022 14:31:43 +0000

Agreed. MSM is preaching an agenda that is willfully blind to history. Ukraine is tragic, but don't for a second subscribe to the "unprovoked" narrative.

New comment by warlog in "Saudi to consider accepting Yuan for oil sales"

warlog — Tue, 15 Mar 2022 19:03:45 +0000

Or the US could just Libya their asses back into compliance. Or was that Iraq their asses...

New comment by warlog in "How To Do Less"

warlog — Sun, 13 Mar 2022 21:00:01 +0000

Tell my manager (the CTO) that.

New comment by warlog in "Putin says Western sanctions are akin to declaration of war"

warlog — Sat, 05 Mar 2022 18:21:35 +0000

Hahahaha.. and then article 5 ourselves into a full blown world war?

New comment by warlog in "CISA: Shields Up"

warlog — Sat, 05 Mar 2022 18:15:49 +0000

..."Russia’s unprovoked attack on Ukraine"...

For some definitions of unprovoked.

https://youtu.be/JrMiSQAGOS4

New comment by warlog in "The U.S. is now energy independent"

warlog — Fri, 18 Feb 2022 06:59:07 +0000

Sigh.

1. A barrel of oil isn't just gas.. About half is for bunker oil, diesel and kerosene that runs boats, trucks and jets. That need isn't going away no matter how many batteries you make. The rest (40-50%) of the barrel is a waste stream that can be used as light gasoline, plastics and chemicals.

We will always have the second half because we always need the first half.

2. As others have mentioned, all oil is not equal. Shale and tar sands (tight oil) are not producing the heavy cuts/blends that we require for bunker oil, diesel and aircraft. US will need to balance export of shale based (or nat gas) energy with import of heavier grades of oil. Probably always. This isn't "independence"..it's codependence at best, and it will require the world burning gas for cars. How's your CO2?

3. Peak oil (conventional) was 2005, and then the shale oil financial stunt (thanks negative interest rates!!) took us to Nov 2018 when -- *Before covid* peak oil, and energy happened.

We're on the downslope of production without massive "demand destruction".

4. The energy price predicament is that below $80/barrel, shale and tight producers can't make money (and there will be no further investment) and above $80 and the rest of the economy gets killed.

None of these ideas are mine. All are easily goog'd.

New comment by warlog in "Classifying games like the Prisoner's Dilemma"

warlog — Tue, 15 Feb 2022 02:15:06 +0000

Is one of those games equivalent to snow drift?

New comment by warlog in "How to Drop Out (2004)"

warlog — Mon, 14 Feb 2022 20:53:04 +0000

If you're a doomer (i.e., not for everybody): an interesting perspective on radical disengagement: [0]

Ran Prieur - discussed in another thread on HN, or [1]

[0] https://youtu.be/dsNWH8ESCAM

[1] http://ranprieur.com/essays/dropout.html

New comment by warlog in "How to Drop Out (2004)"

warlog — Mon, 14 Feb 2022 13:17:20 +0000

Not carbon credits.

Personal disengagement from the heat engine.

New comment by warlog in "Everything must be paid for twice"

warlog — Sun, 23 Jan 2022 09:40:40 +0000

Antilibrary?

https://fs.blog/the-antilibrary/

New comment by warlog in "World ocean temperatures in 2021 were the hottest ever recorded"

warlog — Thu, 13 Jan 2022 00:10:39 +0000

That's not the exponential function.

That's grift and theft.

New comment by warlog in "The Idiocy of Tiny Houses and Electric Vehicles"

warlog — Sun, 02 Jan 2022 15:36:40 +0000

"To live more sustainably, if you don’t need it, don’t buy it."

This.

But it flies in the face of sustainability(TM), which has been captured by corporations and is the new new for capitalism.

New comment by warlog in "HN Predictions for 2021 (2020)"

warlog — Sun, 02 Jan 2022 15:23:56 +0000

And if you count building supplies and groceries, it's north of 10. The numbers are cooked, and the rate of cooking is increasing.

New comment by warlog in "Japanese “Card Contained” Stationary"

warlog — Sat, 01 Jan 2022 15:32:36 +0000

This site is sweet and I don't really know what I'm looking at? I think it's business card holders for things besides and including business cards.

New comment by warlog in "A supply chain catastrophe is brewing in the US"

warlog — Fri, 10 Sep 2021 08:54:58 +0000

You mean the US surgeon general Jerome Adams announcing by twitter that masks weren't effective, and later deleting [0]?

0.https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/29/health/face-masks-coronavirus...

New comment by warlog in "We Could Brighten Clouds to Cool the Earth"

warlog — Wed, 08 Sep 2021 13:41:18 +0000

Do you think magical thinking is capable of solving all problems once sufficiently experienced by the 1%?