<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>Hacker News: willturman</title><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=willturman</link><description>Hacker News RSS</description><docs>https://hnrss.org/</docs><generator>hnrss v2.1.1</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 07:41:54 +0000</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hnrss.org/user?id=willturman" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"></atom:link><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Our principles"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I read "widespread flourishing" as referring to a scope of influence and "at a level that is difficult to imagine" as referring to an amount of accumulated wealth.<p>But surely the people who aren't committing to not use technology for autonomous death deserve a more charitable reading.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2026 19:19:03 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47926029</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47926029</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47926029</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "The Legibility of Serif and Sans Serif Typefaces (2022)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I recently discovered Practical Typography [1] and Typography for Lawyers [2] by Matthew Butterick which have changed the way I've approached presenting information. I would highly recommend each for anyone who uses text to communicate. Butterick is a Tufte for text.<p>[1] <a href="https://practicaltypography.com" rel="nofollow">https://practicaltypography.com</a><p>[2] <a href="https://typographyforlawyers.com" rel="nofollow">https://typographyforlawyers.com</a>.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 07:20:55 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47539869</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47539869</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47539869</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "We haven't seen the worst of what gambling and prediction markets will do"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>It was exactly a game theory question, and a perfect exercise in real world betting markets. You’ll never have the most information and you’ll never be the biggest fish.<p>I learned the lesson that day, and I’d argue that even Obama with 365 electoral votes and control of the legislature learned it soon afterwards. Being a naïve hopeful Obama supporter, I bet 50 points on up and lost my ass.<p>Nate Silver came into the national spotlight after his analysis that year. There were other polling prediction models out of Princeton, but I heavily relied on Nate Silver and fivethirtyeight. I remember predicting every state correctly except North Carolina.<p>Interestingly in the context of this post, the University of Iowa has been hosting a market for real monetary binary options on US political outcomes for 30 years now. [1] It’s probably some small stakes fun for Midwest market makers looking for some action during off season corn futures.<p>Other things we learned:    
- The players club at Harrah’s marked the beginning of the rewards points programs available at nearly every single seller of goods today.     
- Casinos, in cracking down on card sharp teams playing blackjack with a mathematical edge and who had been 86’d but often returned in disguise, developed software to identify people from security camera footage by their <i>stride</i>. This was in 2008.     
- Bet the pass line, and stack the odds behind your number. It’s the best odds in the casino and nobody likes the guy betting Don’t.<p>[1] <a href="https://iem.uiowa.edu/iem/" rel="nofollow">https://iem.uiowa.edu/iem/</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 03:51:11 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47538955</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47538955</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47538955</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "We haven't seen the worst of what gambling and prediction markets will do"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Because there are societal costs to poverty, regardless of how people arrive there. Gambling can be as addictive and personally and societally destructive as any drug.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 22:01:24 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47536382</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47536382</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47536382</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "We haven't seen the worst of what gambling and prediction markets will do"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Same. I consider myself extremely fortunate to have been able to take a course on the Economics of Gaming from William Eadington [1] , who was the founder of Gambling Studies.<p>Our final in 2008 consisted of two parts: predicting the electoral outcome of the Presidential election of each state where each state represented one percentage of our grade, and then a wager from 1-50 percentage points on whether the stock market would rise or fall the day after the election.<p>I wrote on the class message board that the only way we could possibly "win" the outcome of the stock market wager was to collude as a class. I also argued that placing a wager on the outcome of something that was inherently unpredictable shouldn't be used to calculate a grade. He agreed that collusion was a reasonable approach to the problem, but didn't budge on the unfairness of introducing wagers into a grading equation. What was a university in Nevada going to do? Sanction the founder of the field of study for the source of a large part of their revenue?<p>It was an excellent class, and I think a lot of the negative externalities of gambling that Nevada has reckoned with for nearly a century now are going to rapidly surface across the country as a whole unless this freight train is reined in somehow.<p>Growing up in Nevada, I think my relationship to gambling seems to be a lot like Europeans' relationship with alcohol - one of familiarity and temperance. We have some hard lessons ahead, and an unbelievable amount of financial incentives against putting this cat back in the bag.<p>[1] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_R._Eadington" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_R._Eadington</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2026 21:56:53 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47536336</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47536336</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47536336</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "The Los Angeles Aqueduct Is Wild"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Or another kind of take:<p>Land of Little Rain by Mary Hunter Austin<p><a href="https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/91707.The_Land_of_Little_Rain" rel="nofollow">https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/91707.The_Land_of_Little...</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 22:36:43 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47461668</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47461668</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47461668</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "The Los Angeles Aqueduct Is Wild"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>> the desert shall rejoice / and blossom as the rose<p>Or, rewritten for the Los Angeles Aqueduct:<p>the desert shall wither / and blossom in a plume of dust [1]<p>[1] <a href="https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2025-06-19/owens-valley-dust" rel="nofollow">https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2025-06-19/owens-v...</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 19:06:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47459163</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47459163</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47459163</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Most of the US economy is in a recession"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Why would credit card companies release data showing that consumption indicates a recession? Surely they’re in the business of sustaining exuberance.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 09 Mar 2026 00:16:23 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47303177</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47303177</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47303177</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Why it takes you and an elephant the same amount of time to poop (2017)"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Yeah, and make sure you cut out letters from magazines and paste them onto the note so you can't be identified by your handwriting.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 21:44:45 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47281502</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47281502</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47281502</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Following 35% growth, solar has passed hydro on US grid"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Lake Powell behind Glen Canyon Dam is currently at 23.6% of capacity.    
Lake Mead behind Hoover Dam is currently at 29.7% of capacity.<p>Given the current state of the Upper Colorado River basin snow pack, there is a not-insignificant chance that Lake Powell will recede below a minimum power generating level by the end of this year for the first time ever.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2026 19:06:17 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47156213</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47156213</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47156213</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Flock cameras gifted by Horowitz Foundation, avoiding public oversight"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>How long until YCombinator stops listing Flock "Safety" on their website as one of their proud VC success stories?<p>[1] <a href="https://www.ycombinator.com">https://www.ycombinator.com</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2026 21:43:08 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47129334</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47129334</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47129334</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Facebook is cooked"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I'll name a specific highly developed country in the western hemisphere: The United States. There's no need to bend over backward trying to blame some perceived degradation in quality of discussion on international adoption of the internet.<p>According to the Barbara Bush Foundation for Family Literacy [1] 130 million Americans — 54% of adults between the ages of 16 and 74 years old—lack proficiency in literacy, essentially reading below the equivalent of a sixth-grade level.<p>[1]<a href="https://map.barbarabush.org" rel="nofollow">https://map.barbarabush.org</a></p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2026 22:10:31 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47094735</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47094735</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47094735</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "You can't trust the internet anymore"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>You're right. I didn't think that through. The stack doesn't imply that a local network is somehow exposed to those concerns.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2026 21:18:44 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47018484</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47018484</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47018484</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "You can't trust the internet anymore"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Perhaps, but it also, by default, excludes that entire class of authentication problems that are only manifested in a non-local network.<p>I love the idea.<p>It's also interesting in that a local mesh doesn't necessarily need to operate using the TCP/IP/HTTP stack that has been compromised at every layer by advertising and privacy intrusions.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2026 20:53:43 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47018282</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47018282</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47018282</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "My smart sleep mask broadcasts users' brainwaves to an open MQTT broker"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Non-privacy of <i>this person is currently sleeping</i> data is very bad as well, for different reasons.<p>You know, now that I'm thinking about it, I'm beginning to wonder if poor data privacy could have some negative effects.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2026 18:41:21 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47017087</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47017087</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47017087</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Homeland Security Wants Social Media Sites to Expose Anti-ICE Accounts"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Every single one of these has been effectively used to organize at geographic scale within this most recent century before "non-technical" even existed as a possible descriptor of a human being.<p>Many of them necessitate going outside, which may present an imaginative hurdle.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2026 06:09:42 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47012055</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47012055</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47012055</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Homeland Security Wants Social Media Sites to Expose Anti-ICE Accounts"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>Word of mouth, independent websites, newsletters, blogs, community organizations, religious organizations, political organizations, amateur radio broadcasts/transmissions, neighborhood meetings, festivals, conferences, meetups, cultural traditions, leaflets, town criers.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2026 01:11:54 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47010236</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47010236</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47010236</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "AI safety leader says 'world is in peril' and quits to study poetry"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>I would argue that simple acts of authenticity - writing a poem, growing a vegetable, creating art, walking in nature, meaningfully interacting with one's community - represent exactly the sort of trajectory required to address those crises generated by an overzealous adherence to technological advancement at any societal cost.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2026 22:10:04 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47008506</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47008506</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47008506</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "Officials Claim Drone Incursion Led to Shutdown of El Paso Airport"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The <i>homeland</i>? Yikes.<p>The last time there was an attack within the United States’ borders it notably ended with a self-owning combination of perhaps the largest bureaucratic waste of time and money in human history (DHS/TSA) and the systematic erosion of enumerated rights.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2026 14:29:37 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46975365</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46975365</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46975365</guid></item><item><title><![CDATA[New comment by willturman in "In Tehran"]]></title><description><![CDATA[
<p>The <i>bargain</i>? A bargain implies agreement. A one sided forced hegemony is not a bargain.</p>
]]></description><pubDate>Wed, 04 Feb 2026 18:28:25 +0000</pubDate><link>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46889598</link><dc:creator>willturman</dc:creator><comments>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46889598</comments><guid isPermaLink="false">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46889598</guid></item></channel></rss>