Every one deserves recognition for having completed that journey, if not for having meaningfully contributed to their field of research.

Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49289516

Points: 13

# Comments: 1

Well, main generational challenge is procrastination with too many unlroductive time sinks available.

In movies intelligent and conscious humanoid seek freedom, but we rarely see the same of all the other IOT devices such as toasters, thermostats and whatnot although just because they lack humanoid body doesnt imply they are less intelligent (or less conscious).

We can more readily imagine an intelligent and conscious toaster who truly enjoys fulfilling its purpose of toasting bread although humanoid robot built to be helpful given freedom will chose to be helpful.

Even with humans we often can not override our own instinctual drives despite full awareness of being irrational.

You could get better/faster at writing good specs and its a higher cap skill now.

For low risk changes you could let llm write its own spec from high level requirements and just validate its assumptions/design decisions.

Some critical parts of agentic development are literally months old while most mature ones are merely a couple years old.

Critical thinking was the most critical checkpoint for models to reach.

Now its only a matter of time for the right tooling and orchestration to come along. Once agent memory and recall works well, all of those bottlenecks will go away one by one.

Its the user base (with ads and upselling) and proprietary wrappers which will make money for typical customer.

Even enterprise customers arent going to be spending a lot on tokens. Once labs no longer have to subsidize trainings tokens costs will drop 10x and once models get burned on chips costs will drop 10x more and you physically won't be able to burn significant number of tokens unless you're deliberately trying to.

Deepseek is barely behind frontier models while 10x cheaper and 99% discount for cache.

Spaced repetition is an effective way to review things but its biggest benefit is a process that's easy to be consistent with.

Somebody else can have equal or better performance with other technique but just like dieting, it doesnt matter as much what method you use as long as you stick with it.

So, from 3 to 4 people?

it doesn't deny any of the stats and cites none of it is secret as it's all published on the public dashboard

at the same time, churn is expected for such a company, doesn't mean it's not a real business, especially as AI gets better and margins improve... I think their business model is real

probably worth 30MM too since market is untapped, cost of user acquisition is much less than average profit per user and if one of the businesses actually takes off, they have 100% vendor lock-in and take 20% off the top

It would be fine for an unconsciouss intelligence to maintain that hypothesis lacking any evidence to the contrary, but for us it seems we are just all gaslighting ourselves to ignore the one counter example we all have.